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Typhoon DOLPHIN (27W) : พายุโซนร้อน ดอลฟิน (27W) พัฒนาเป็นไต้ฝุ่นระดับ 1 แล้ว

Typhoon DOLPHIN (27W) : พายุโซนร้อน ดอลฟิน (27W) พัฒนาเป็นไต้ฝุ่นระดับ 1 แล้ว
ประกาศศูนย์ร่วมการเตือนภัยไต้ฝุ่น ฮาวาย, สหรัฐฯ (Joint Typhoon Warning Center หรือ JTWC )
สภาวะโดยทั่วไปของพายุหมุนเขตร้อนเมื่อเวลา 13.00น.
ประจำวันที่ 15 ธันวาคม 2551 ออกประกาศเวลา 16.00 น. ตามเวลาประเทศไทย

ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคด้านตะวันตกตอนเหนือ ทะเลจีนใต้ และอ่าวไทย วันที่ 15 ธันวาคม 2551 /13.30 น. ปรากฎพายุหมุนเขตร้อน 1 ลูก / หย่อมความกดอากาศต่ำ 0 ลูก
1)Typhoon DOLPHIN(27W,14.7N 130.1E,65kts): เมื่อเวลา 07.00น.วันนี้(15ธ.ค.51) พายุโซนร้อน DOLPHIN(ดอลฟิน/27W) ได้พัฒนาเป็นไต้ฝุ่นแล้ว(พายุระดับ 1) ที่ละติจูด 13.8 องศาเหนือ ลองจิจูด 130.4 องศาตะวันออก และเมื่อเวลา 13.00น.วันนี้(15ธ.ค.51) ไต้ฝุ่น DOLPHIN(ดอลฟิน/27W) ปกคลุมบริเวณทะเลฟิลิปปินส์หรือทางด้านตะวันออกของเกาะลูซอน อยู่ที่ละติจูด 14.7 องศาเหนือ ลองจิจูด 130.1 องศาตะวันออก หรือมีศูนย์กลางอยู่ทางทิศตะวันออกจากกรุงมะนิลา ประเทศฟิลิปปินส์ห่ างประมาณ 992 กิโลเมตร. กำลังเคลื่อนตัวไปทางทิศเหนือค่อนตะวันตกด้วยความเร็ว 6 นอต(11 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง) เมื่อ 6 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมาอย่างช้าๆ . พายุนี้ได้เคลื่อนตัวช้าลงและเริ่มเบี่ยงตัวไปทางเหนือมากขึ้นเมื่อช่วง 12 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา. โดยเมื่อ 6 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมานี้ หรือช่วง07.00น.-13.00น.วันนี้(15ธ.ค.51)พายุได้ทวีความรุนแรงขึ้นไปเพียงเล็กน้อย ขณะที่มีกลุ่มพายุฝนฝนฟ้าคะนองก่อตัวขึ้นอย่างรุนแรงบริเวณรอบๆศูนย์กลางพายุซึ่งปรากฏบนภาพถ่ายระบบ อินฟราเรด. ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมเคลื่อนไหวระบบความหนาแน่นปริมาณไอน้ำบ่งบอกว่ามีพัดขยายตัวเป็นรัศมีออกไปอย่างมากที่เหนือพายุ ประกอบกับมีการก่อตัวเพิ่มมากขึ้นบริเวณด้านตะวันออกเฉียงเหนือและด้านตะวันตกเฉียงใต้ของศูนย์กลางพายุ. ความรุนแรงของพายุตามการรายงานของดาวเทียมระบบ KNED RJTD และ PGTW ล่าสุดมีความรุนแรงที่เฉลี่ย 45-65นอต(83-120กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง). ตำแหน่งของพายุถูกบันถึกโดยภาพดาวเทียมเคลื่อนไหวและภาพถ่ายไมโครเวฟ รวมถึงภาพถ่ายระบบ TRMM และ AMSR-E แสดงให้เป็นถึงบริเวณความอุ่นที่พัดเหนือศูนย์กลางพายุ. ที่บรรยากาศระดับชั้นบนมีกระแสลมแอนติไซโคลนที่ยังพัดเหนือศูนย์กลางส่งผลให้มีการคลายตัวออกไปของพายุลูกนี้. กระแสลมแอนติไซโคลนกำลังทำให้ลมวินเชียร์ลดกำลังลงซึ่งกำลังเคลื่อนตัวมาจากเขตละติจูดกลางซึ่งจะเป็นผลให้มีการขยายตัวของแนวเมฆฝนเพิ่มมากขึ้น ความเร็วลมสูงสุดใกล้ศูนย์กลางประมาณ 65 นอต(120 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง) ความกดอากาศที่พื้นผิวประมาณ 974 มิลลิบาร์ คลื่นทะเลสูงสุดประมาณ 6 เมตรในช่วง 6 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา / คาด ไต้ฝุ่น DOLPHIN(ดอลฟิน/27W) จะมีทิศทางการเคลื่อนตัวไปทางเหนือค่อนตะวันตกต่อไปในอีก 12 ชั่วโมงข้างหน้ามุ่งหน้าไปยังปลายลิ่มความกดอากาศสูงที่มีกำลังอ่อนเนื่องจากกระแสลมเขตละติจูดกลางที่พัดมา. คาดว่าพายุจะทวีกำลังแรงขึ้นไปอีกในอีก 6-12 ฃั่วโมงข้างหน้าหรือช่วงตั้งแต่ 19.00น.วันนี้(15ธ.ค.51)เป็นต้นไป ก่อนที่จะเริ่มอ่อนกำลังลงเป็นพายุโซนร้อนในอีก 36 ชี่วโมงข้างหน้า หรือช่วงประมาณ 01.00น.(17ธ.ค.51) เป็นต้นไป โดยพายุไม่มีแนวโน้มเคลื่อนตัวเข้าสู่ประเทศใดๆ. . : ประกาศศูนย์ร่วมการเตือนภัยไต้ฝุ่น (Joint Typhoon Warning Center หรือ JTWC )
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ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม INFRARED ทุกๆ 1 ชม.
ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคด้านตะวันตกตอนเหนือ (ช่วง ลองจิจูดที่ 100-150 องศาตะวันออก)

ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคด้านตะวันตกตอนเหนือ (ช่วง ลองจิจูดที่ 140-180 องศาตะวันออก)


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณมหาสมุทรอินเดียตอนเหนือ ทุก ๆ 1 ชั่วโมง


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณเอเชียตะวันออกเฉียงใต้ ทุก ๆ 1 ชั่วโมง


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณมหาสมุทรเเปซิฟิคตอนเหนือด้านตะวันตก ทุก ๆ 1 ชั่วโมง


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณประเทศญี่ปุ่น ทุก ๆ 1 ชั่วโมง


ภาพถ่ายแบบเต็ม ทุกๆ 1 ชั่วโมง

http://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/latest/globe/2048x2048/ir.jpgCLICK เพื่อดูภาพขนาดใหญ่
http://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/latest/animation/MPEG-2/last-120h.mpgCLICK เพื่อดูภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมเคลื่อนไหว 120 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา หรือ เมื่อ 5 วันที่ผ่านมา UPDATE ทุกๆ 1 ชั่วโมง

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ภาพการคาดหมายเส้นทางการเดินพายุ ล่วงหน้า 5 วัน ทุกๆ 6 ชม.
บริเวณพื้นที่ตาข่ายสีดำ รูปกรวย(โคน) แสดงถึง ความไม่แน่นอน/ความเป็นไปได้ที่จะได้รับผลกระทบหรือศูนย์กลางพายุอาจจะพัดผ่าน
***เครื่องของท่านอาจไม่ปรากฏภาพดังกล่าว ให้ CLICK ขวา > Show Picture***
ที่มา Joint Typhoon Warning Center หรือ JTWC *ต้นฉบับ*




http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/westpac/storm/storm27W.html
http://www.solar.ifa.hawaii.edu/Tropical/Gif/nwp.latest.gif

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ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมเคลื่อนไหว INFRARED ของ พายุ ทุกๆ 1 ชั่วโมง


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม ENHANCED INFRARED ของพายุ (ทุกๆ 1ชั่วโมง) บ่งบอกถึงระดับความรุนแรงที่ศูนย์กลางพายุ


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม AVN COLOR ของพายุ (ทุกๆ 1ชั่วโมง) บ่งบอกถึงระดับความเร็วลมของพายุ


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม WATER VAPOR ของพายุ (ทุกๆ 1ชั่วโมง) บ่งบอกถึงระดับความหนาแน่นของเมฆฝนของพายุ


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม FUNKTOP ของพายุ (ทุกๆ 1ชั่วโมง) บ่งบอกถึงระดับความรุนแรงของฝนและปริมาณน้ำฝนของพายุบริเวณต่างๆ


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม BLACK and WHITE (ทุกๆ 1ชั่วโมง) บ่งบอกถึงค่าระดับความรุนแรงของพายุ(DVORAK) เช่น ส่วนโค้ง ลมดิ่ง ปริมาณเมฆฝนที่ศูนย์กลาง กำแพงตาพายุ และตาพายุ


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม JSL ของพายุ (ทุกๆ 1ชั่วโมง) เป็นการแบ่งระดับความรุนแรงของพายุในบริเวณต่างๆ


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม RAINBOW ของพายุ (ทุกๆ 1ชั่วโมง) บ่งบอกถึงระดับอุณหภูมิที่พื้นผิวเมฆและชั้นบรรยากาศของพายุ


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม INFRARED ของพายุ (ทุกๆ 1ชั่วโมง)


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม VISIBLE ของพายุ (ทุกๆ 1ชั่วโมง) เป็นภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมแบบเห็นจริง เฉพาะเวลากลางวันเนื่องจากการหมุนของโลก และแสงอาทิตย์


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม RGB ของพายุ (ทุกๆ 1ชั่วโมง) เป็นภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมเรืองแสงสามารถเห็นได้ทั้งกลางวันและกลางคืนแม้ไม่มีแสงอาทิตย์สาดส่อง


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ระดับความเร็วลมของพายุ (Wind Analysis) เมื่อวันที่ 15 ธันวาคม 2551 เวลา 13.00 น.

CLICK ที่นี่เพื่อ UPDATE ทุกๆ 6 ชั่วโมง และดูย้อนหลัง
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/mpsatwnd_archive.asp?storm_identifier=WP272008

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15 ธันวาคม 2551 / 16.00 น. ตามเวลาประเทศไทย

การพยากรณ์ โดยJoint Typhoon Warning Center (รายละเอียด)

1 การพยากรณ์ เเละการคาดหมาย ของพายุ 5 วันล่วงหน้า ทุกๆ 6 ชั่วโมง
WTPN31 PGTW 150900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 27W (DOLPHIN) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
150600Z --- NEAR 14.5N 130.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N 130.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 15.4N 129.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 16.4N 129.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 17.5N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 18.6N 128.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS
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72 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 19.8N 127.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 20.7N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 21.7N 128.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
150900Z POSITION NEAR 14.7N 130.1E.
TYPHOON (TY) 27W (DOLPHIN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 535 NM EAST OF
MANILA, PHILIPPINES HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 19
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z, 152100Z, 160300Z AND 160900Z.//
NNNN




2 การวิเคราะห์ เเละการคาดการณ์ ของพายุ ทุกๆ 12 ชั่วโมง
WDPN31 PGTW 150300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 27W (DOLPHIN) WARNING NR 19//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 12 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
A. TYPHOON (TY) 27W (DOLPHIN) HAS SLOWED DOWN AND BEGUN
TO TURN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. DURING THE LAST
06 HOURS, TS DOLPHIN HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY AS CONVECTIVE BANDING
AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) DEEPENED AS EVIDENCED
BY THE COLDER TOPS ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS VERY GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW OVER TY 27W WITH THE
CONVECTIVE AREA ELONGATED NORTH-NORTHEAST TO SOUTH-SOUTHWEST.
B. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS DERIVED FROM RECENT SATELLITE
INTENSITY FIXES FROM KNES, RJTD AND PGTW THAT RANGED FROM 45 TO 65
KNOTS. THE POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND
MICROWAVE IMAGES, INCLUDING TRMM AND AMSR-E, SHOWING A WARM SPOT
OVER THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT A MESOSCALE
ANTICYCLONE REMAINS OVER TY 27W PROVIDING EFFICIENT OUTFLOW. THE
ANTICYCLONE IS ALSO TEMPERING INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH THAT APPEARS TO BE CAUSING THE
ELONGATION OF THE CONVECTION.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS NOT CHANGED SINCE THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST.
B. TYPHOON DOLPHIN WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWEST BECOMING
MORE NORTHWEST TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE STEERING RIDGE CAUSEDBY THE
AFOREMENTIONED MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THE STORM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN
AS IT DRIFTS INTO A SURGE OF COOL DRY NORTHEAST MONSOON WINDS
EXTENDING ALL THE WAY INTO THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE RATE OF DECAY OF
TS 27W WILL DETERMINE THE SHARPNESS OF ITS RECURVATURE. A
WEAKER/SHALLOWER STORM WILL TEND TO BE RETARDED BY GRADIENT LEVEL
WINDS AND FROM A SHARPER, MORE NORTHERLY TRACK.
C. TY 27W IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE IN THE NORTHERN PHILIPPINE SEA BEYOND TAU 72 AS VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR INCREASES.
FORECAST TEAM: ALPHA//
NNNN



==================================================================================================

รวมเว็บภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม ทุกๆ 30 นาที – 1 ชั่วโมง บริเวณมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคตะวันตกในซีกโลกเหนือ (North West Pacific)
1. ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมแบบ INFRARED บริเวณมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคตะวันตก
1.1 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณ West Pacific/South China Sea ของ MTSAT
http://205.85.40.22/sat/gms_nwtrop/ir/nwtrop_ir.jpg
1.2 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณ West Pacific/South China Sea ของ NOAA (โนอา)
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/SHGMSIRW.JPG
1.3 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณ อ่าวเบงกอล อ่าวไทย ทะเลจีนใต้ จนถึง ฝั่งตะวันออกของฟิลิปปินส์
http://205.85.40.22/sat/gms_a/goesa.jpg
1.4 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณ ทะเลตะวันออกของฟิลิปปินส์ จนสิ้นสุดที่ ลองจิจูดที่ 180.0 องศาตะวันออก
http://205.85.40.22/sat/gms_b/goesb.jpg
1.5 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคด้านตะวันตกทั้งหมด
http://205.85.40.22/sat/gms_full/ir/gmsfull_ir.jpg
1.6 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณ มหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคด้านตะวันตกตอนเหนือ อ่าวเบงกอล และมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคใต้
http://205.85.40.22/jtwc/jtgio_ir2.jpg
2. ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมแบบ VISIBLE (ภาพเห็นจริง) บริเวณมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคตะวันตก (สามารถดูได้ในเฉพาะเวลากลางวันของมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคตะวันตก )
2.1 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณ West Pacific/South China Sea ของ MTSAT
http://205.85.40.22/sat/gms_nwtrop/vis/nwtrop_vis.jpg
2.2 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณ West Pacific/South China Sea ของ NOAA (โนอา)
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/SHGMSVSW.JPG
3. ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมเคลื่อนไหว แบบ INFRARED บริเวณมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคตะวันตก
3.1 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมเคลื่อนไหว บริเวณอ่าวไทย ทะเลจีนใต้ จนถึง ทะเลตะวันออกของฟิลิปปินส์
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/sohemiloops/shirgmsw.html
3.2 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมเคลื่อนไหว บริเวณเกาะกวม (Guam) มหาสมุทรแปซิฟิค
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/guam/guamloops/guamir.html
3.3 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมเคลื่อนไหว บริเวณอ่าวไทย ทะเลจีนใต้ และมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิค
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/wpac/loop-ir4.html
3.4 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมเคลื่อนไหว บริเวณมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิค ทั้งหมด
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/westpac/movies/gmsir/gmsirjava.html

Link การพยากรณ์ คาดหมาย ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม เส้นทางเดินพายุ ทุกๆ 6 ชั่วโมง
http://metocph.nmci.navy.mil/jtwc.php(1-Minute Mean/ประเทศสหรัฐฯ) ***ต้นฉบับของ 1-Minute Mean
http://www.wunderground.com/(1-Minute Mean/ประเทศสหรัฐฯ)
http://www.solar.ifa.hawaii.edu/tropical/(1-Minute Mean/ประเทศสหรัฐฯ)
http://tsr.mssl.ucl.ac.uk/(1-Minute Mean/ประเทศอังกฤษ)
http://www.kma.go.kr/ (10-Minute Mean/ประเทศเกาหลี)
http://www.jma.go.jp (10-Minute Mean/ประเทศญี่ปุ่น)
http://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/(10-Minute Mean/ประเทศญี่ปุ่น)
อื่นๆ
ความรู้เกี่ยวกับ สัญลักษณ์ของระดับลมที่เกิดขึ้นทั้งบนบกและทะเล (WIND ANALYSYS มาตราโบฟอร์ด) หมายถึงอะไร ???
http://www.uppic.net/ib/beauford.gif

==================================================================================================

*** หมายเหตุ; การพยากรณ์และการคำนวณพายุหมุนเขตร้อนนี้โดยหน่วยงาน ศูนย์ร่วมการเตือนภัยไต้ฝุ่น (Joint Typhoon Warning Center หรือ JTWC) ของ สหรัฐฯ เป็นการพยากรณ์ตามระดับมาตรวัดพายุหมุนเขตร้อนของ ซัฟเฟอร์ – ซิมป์สัน (Saffir – Simpson Scale)ของสหรัฐ ฯ ตามข้อกำหนดจากต่างประเทศบริเวณที่ได้รับอิทธิพลจากเฮอร์ริเคนซึ่งส่วนใหญ่ยอมรับใช้กัน พยากรณ์และคำนวณความเร็วลมที่รอบศูนย์กลางพายุที่ค่าเฉลี่ย 1 นาที(1-Minute Mean) ใช้กรณีเดียวกับศูนย์เฮอร์ริเคนแห่งชาติ (National Hurricane Center หรือ NHC) / ต่างจากประเทศไทย ที่มีการพยากรณ์และคำนวณพายุหมุนเขตร้อนตาม ระดับมาตรวัดพายุหมุนเขตร้อนตามมาตรฐานสากล (International Standard) ตามข้อกำหนดจากต่างประเทศบริเวณที่ได้รับอิทธิพลจากไต้ฝุ่นซึ่งส่วนใหญ่ยอมรับใช้กัน พยากรณ์และคำนวณความเร็วลมที่รอบศูนย์กลางพายุที่ค่าเฉลี่ย 10 นาที (10-Minute Mean) ดังนั้นข้อมูลทั้ง ค่าความกดอากาศ ความเร็วลม ฯลฯ จะไม่เหมือนกัน
1)ระดับมาตรวัดพายุหมุนเขตร้อนของ ซัฟเฟอร์ – ซิมป์สัน (Saffir – Simpson Scale) พยากรณ์โดยศูนย์ร่วมการเตือนภัยไต้ฝุ่น (Joint Typhoon Warning Center หรือ JTWC)ของสหรัฐ ฯ ตามข้อกำหนดจากต่างประเทศบริเวณที่ได้รับอิทธิพลจากเฮอร์ริเคน และส่วนใหญ่ยอมรับใช้กัน / ค่าเฉลี่ยความเร็วลมที่รอบศูนย์กลางพายุ 1 นาที(1-Minute Mean)
ระดับของซัฟเฟอร์-ซิมพ์สัน --------------------- ความเร็วลมสูงสุดที่รอบศูนย์กลาง
Tropical Depression (TD); พายุดีเปรสชัน ----- 25 – 33 นอต หรือ 46-61 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง
Tropical Storm (TS); พายุโซนร้อน ------------ 34-63 นอต หรือ 63-117 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง
Typhoon (Category 1); ไต้ฝุ่นระดับ 1 ---------- 64-83 หรือ 119-154 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง
Typhoon (Category 2); ไต้ฝุ่นระดับ 2 ---------- 84-96 นอต หรือ 156-178 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง
Typhoon (Category 3); ไต้ฝุ่นระดับ 3 ---------- 97-113 นอต หรือ 180-209 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง
Typhoon (Category 4); ไต้ฝุ่นระดับ 4 ---------- 114-135 นอต หรือ 211-250 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง
Super Typhoon (Category 5); ซูเปอร์ไต้ฝุ่นระดับ 5 ---------- 135 นอต หรือ 250 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง ขึ้นไป

2)ระดับมาตรวัดพายุหมุนเขตร้อนประเทศไทยใช้ตามมาตรฐานสากล (INTERNATIONAL STANDARD)ตามข้อกำหนดจากต่างประเทศบริเวณที่ได้รับอิทธิพลจากไต้ฝุ่น และส่วนใหญ่ยอมรับใช้กัน / ค่าเฉลี่ยความเร็วลมที่รอบศูนย์กลางพายุ 10 นาที (10-Minute Mean)
ระดับ -------------------------------- ความเร็วลมสูงสุดที่รอบศูนย์กลาง
Tropical Depression (TD) --------- >33 นอต หรือ >62 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง
Tropical Storm (TS) --------------- 34 – 47 นอต หรือ 63 – 88 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง
Severe Tropical Storm (STS) ----- 48 – 63 นอต หรือ 89 – 118 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง
Typhoon (TY) ---------------------- <64 นอต ขึ้นไป หรือ <119 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมงขึ้นไป


โดยคุณ TC-27W (125.24.127.88) [15-12-2008 19:48]




ความเห็นที่ 1 โดยคุณ บูม Mail to บูม (58.137.54.133) [15-12-2008 22:50] #20196

งงอ่ะคัฟ ทำไมหน้านี้พายุยังคงขึ้นเหนืออีก ทั้งที่น่าจะลงทางใต้นะคัฟ คัยรู้ช่วยอธิายหน่อยคัฟ แล้วเปนไปได้ไหมที่ความกดอากาศสูงจะกดให้พายุเปลี่ยนทิศทางลงใต้



ความเห็นที่ 2 โดยคุณ TC-27W (202.47.227.17) [16-12-2008 16:46] #20206

ตามที่ คห.1 บูม

เป็นเรื่องปกตินะครับสำหรับในช่วงเดือน พ.ย. ธ.ค. ม.ค. ก.พ. ทิศทางของพายุหมุนเขตร้อนที่ก่อตัวบริเวณกลางแปซิฟิคส่วนใหญ่ จะมีทิศทางเคลื่อนตัวไปทางเหนือ เนื่องจากอิทธิพลจากกระเเสลมตะวันตก กระเเสมลม jet stream หรือการพัดผ่านกระเเสลมจากละติจูดกลาง หรือบางครั้งได้รับอิทธิพลจากความต่างของมวลอากาศที่มาก(Baroclinic Zone) ทั้งหมดนี้ก็เป็นเหตุจากศูนย์กลางบริเวณความกดอากาศสูงด้านตะวันตกเฉียงเหนือของพายุ

หากว่าพายุก่อตัวใก้ลๆทะเลจีนใต้ ในช่วง ธันวาคมส่วนใหญ่ร้อยละ 99 จะมีทิศทางเคลื่อนตัวลงทางใต้



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Bart <a href=http://www.marketingclassicspress.com>coach purses for cheap</a> This approach company, noted by just the nation's supporters plainly when Barca, happens to be consistently preferred from the time the item.Its industry is focused on improving people's mobility in the delivery of innovative technologies inside fields of braces, supports,. http://www.sequoiastudios.ca We have a sturdy world-wide preference found at Drake with Mickael Hanany as a result of German, who exactly ran during the 2009 Olympics and additionally.Typically the Dothan Police force Dept recently resolved 4 number. <a href=http://www.marketingclassicspress.com>http://www.marketingclassicspress.com</a> Everytime I aim to take the DHA I will not keep it down, and half.The remote central locking can unlock the driver cabin while remaining the cargo area or load compartment residue secured.However, perhaps more advantageous is the increased amount of calories burned once the workout. http://www.sequoiastudios.ca



ความเห็นที่ 120 โดยคุณ BartMecy Mail to BartMecy (192.99.149.224) [18-12-2014 11:50] #243747

Bart <a href=http://www.marketingclassicspress.com>coach purses for cheap</a> This approach company, noted by just the nation's supporters plainly when Barca, happens to be consistently preferred from the time the item.Its industry is focused on improving people's mobility in the delivery of innovative technologies inside fields of braces, supports,. http://www.sequoiastudios.ca We have a sturdy world-wide preference found at Drake with Mickael Hanany as a result of German, who exactly ran during the 2009 Olympics and additionally.Typically the Dothan Police force Dept recently resolved 4 number. <a href=http://www.marketingclassicspress.com>http://www.marketingclassicspress.com</a> Everytime I aim to take the DHA I will not keep it down, and half.The remote central locking can unlock the driver cabin while remaining the cargo area or load compartment residue secured.However, perhaps more advantageous is the increased amount of calories burned once the workout. http://www.sequoiastudios.ca



ความเห็นที่ 121 โดยคุณ BartMecy Mail to BartMecy (192.99.149.224) [18-12-2014 11:51] #243753

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ความเห็นที่ 122 โดยคุณ BartMecy Mail to BartMecy (192.99.149.224) [18-12-2014 11:51] #243761

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ความเห็นที่ 123 โดยคุณ BartMecy Mail to BartMecy (192.99.149.224) [18-12-2014 11:51] #243770

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ความเห็นที่ 124 โดยคุณ BartMecy Mail to BartMecy (192.99.149.224) [18-12-2014 11:51] #243782

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ความเห็นที่ 125 โดยคุณ BartMecy Mail to BartMecy (192.99.149.224) [18-12-2014 11:51] #243792

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