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Tropical Depression 08W #02 : ประกาศเรื่อง “พายุดีเปรสชัน 08W” ฉบับที่ 2

Tropical Depression 08W #02 : ประกาศเรื่อง “พายุดีเปรสชัน 08W” ฉบับที่ 2
ประกาศศูนย์ร่วมการเตือนภัยไต้ฝุ่น ฮาวาย, สหรัฐฯ (Joint Typhoon Warning Center หรือ JTWC )
สภาวะโดยทั่วไปของพายุหมุนเขตร้อนเมื่อเวลา 07.00น.
ประจำวันที่ 03 สิงหาคม 2552 ออกประกาศเวลา 10.00 น. ตามเวลาประเทศไทย

ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคด้านตะวันตกตอนเหนือ ทะเลจีนใต้ และอ่าวไทย วันที่ 03 สิงหาคม 2552 /07.30 น. ปรากฎพายุหมุนเขตร้อน 1 ลูก / หย่อมความกดอากาศต่ำ 1 ลูก
1)Tropical Depression 08W (18.7N 116.0E,30kts): เมื่อเวลา 01.00น.วันนี้(03ส.ค.52) หย่อมความกดอากาศต่ำกำลังแรง 93W มีศูนย์กลางปกคลุมทะเลจีนใต้ตอนบน ได้พัฒนาเป็นดีเปรสชันเขตร้อนแล้ว ล่าสุดเมื่อเวลา ดีเปรสชันลูกนี้ อยู่ที่ละติจูด 18.7 องศาเหนือ ลองจิจูด 116.0องศาตะวันออก หรือมีศูนย์กลางอยู่ทางทิศตะวันออกเฉียงใต้จากเกาะฮ่องกง ห่ างประมาณ 463 กิโลเมตร. กำลังเคลื่อนตัวไปทางทิศตะวันตกเฉียงเหนือ 6 นอต(11 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง) เมื่อ 6 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา . มีความเร็วลมสูงสุดใกล้ศูนย์กลางประมาณ 30 นอต(56 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง) ความกดอากาศที่พื้นผิวน้ำทะเลประมาณ 988 มิลลิบาร์ คลื่นทะเลสูงสุดประมาณ 3 เมตรในช่วง 6 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา / คาดดีเปรสชันเขตร้อน 08W จะเริ่มมีทิศทางการเคลื่อนตัวไปทางเหนือมากขึ้น มีแน้วโน้มที่จะมุ่งหน้าไปยังประเทศจีนตอนใต้ เกาะฮ่องกง ในช่วง 5-8 ส.ค.52 นี้คาดว่าพายุลูกนี้จะทวีขึ้นเป็นพายุโซนร้อนในอีก 13 ชั่วโมงข้างหน้า หรือช่วงประมาณ 19.00น.วันนี้(03ส.ค.52) : ประกาศศูนย์ร่วมการเตือนภัยไต้ฝุ่น (Joint Typhoon Warning Center หรือ JTWC )
2)Tropical Disturbance 98W (20.6N 133.3E,15-20kts): เมื่อเวลา 07.00น.วันนี้(03ส.ค.52) หย่อมความกดอากาศต่ำกำลังแรง 98W มีศูนย์กลางปกคลุมกลางทะเลแปซิฟิค อยู่ที่ละติจูด 20.6 องศาเหนือ ลองจิจูด 133.3 องศาตะวันออก หรือมีศูนย์กลางอยู่ทางทิศตะวันออกเฉียงใต้จากเกาะโอกินาวา ประเทศญี่ปุ่น ห่ างประมาณ 695 กิโลเมตร. กำลังเคลื่อนตัวไปทางทิศเหนือค่อนตะวันตกเล็กด้วยความเร็ว 10 นอต(19 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง) เมื่อ 6 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา . มีความเร็วลมสูงสุดใกล้ศูนย์กลางประมาณ 15-20 นอต(28-37 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง) ความกดอากาศที่พื้นผิวน้ำทะเลประมาณ 998 มิลลิบาร์ คลื่นทะเลสูงสุดประมาณ - เมตรในช่วง 6 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา / คาดหย่อมความกดอากาศต่ำกำลังแรง 98W จะยังคงมีทิศทางเคลื่อนตัวไปทางเหนือโดยส่วนใหญ่ต่อไป 24 ชั่วโมงข้างหน้า มีแนวโน้มที่จะพัฒนาเป็นพายุหมุนเขตร้อนใน 24-48 ชั่วโมงนี้ หรือช่วง 02-03ส.ค.52 : ประกาศศูนย์ร่วมการเตือนภัยไต้ฝุ่น (Joint Typhoon Warning Center หรือ JTWC )
<เพิ่มเติม/ความเห็น> พายุ 08W ไม่มีแนวโน้มเคลื่อนตัวเข้าสู่ไทยแต่อาจส่งผลกระทบทางอ้อมได้


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม INFRARED ทุกๆ 1 ชม.
ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคด้านตะวันตกตอนเหนือ (ช่วง ลองจิจูดที่ 100-150 องศาตะวันออก)

ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคด้านตะวันตกตอนเหนือ (ช่วง ลองจิจูดที่ 140-180 องศาตะวันออก)


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณมหาสมุทรอินเดียตอนเหนือ ทุก ๆ 1 ชั่วโมง


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณเอเชียตะวันออกเฉียงใต้ ทุก ๆ 1 ชั่วโมง


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณมหาสมุทรเเปซิฟิคตอนเหนือด้านตะวันตก ทุก ๆ 1 ชั่วโมง


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณประเทศญี่ปุ่น ทุก ๆ 1 ชั่วโมง


ภาพถ่ายแบบเต็ม ทุกๆ 1 ชั่วโมง

http://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/latest/globe/2048x2048/ir.jpgCLICK เพื่อดูภาพขนาดใหญ่
http://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/latest/animation/MPEG-2/last-120h.mpgCLICK เพื่อดูภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมเคลื่อนไหว 120 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา หรือ เมื่อ 5 วันที่ผ่านมา UPDATE ทุกๆ 1 ชั่วโมง

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ภาพการคาดหมายเส้นทางการเดินพายุ ล่วงหน้า 5 วัน ทุกๆ 6 ชม.
บริเวณพื้นที่ตาข่ายสีดำ รูปกรวย(โคน) แสดงถึง ความไม่แน่นอน/ความเป็นไปได้ที่จะได้รับผลกระทบหรือศูนย์กลางพายุอาจจะพัดผ่าน
***เครื่องของท่านอาจไม่ปรากฏภาพดังกล่าว ให้ CLICK ขวา > Show Picture***
ที่มา Joint Typhoon Warning Center หรือ JTWC *ต้นฉบับ*



http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/westpac/storm/storm08W.html
http://www.solar.ifa.hawaii.edu/Tropical/Gif/nwp.latest.gif

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ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมเคลื่อนไหว INFRARED ของ พายุ ทุกๆ 1 ชั่วโมง


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม ENHANCED INFRARED ของพายุ (ทุกๆ 1ชั่วโมง) บ่งบอกถึงระดับความรุนแรงที่ศูนย์กลางพายุ


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม AVN COLOR ของพายุ (ทุกๆ 1ชั่วโมง) บ่งบอกถึงระดับความเร็วลมของพายุ


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม WATER VAPOR ของพายุ (ทุกๆ 1ชั่วโมง) บ่งบอกถึงระดับความหนาแน่นของเมฆฝนของพายุ


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม FUNKTOP ของพายุ (ทุกๆ 1ชั่วโมง) บ่งบอกถึงระดับความรุนแรงของฝนและปริมาณน้ำฝนของพายุบริเวณต่างๆ


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม BLACK and WHITE (ทุกๆ 1ชั่วโมง) บ่งบอกถึงค่าระดับความรุนแรงของพายุ(DVORAK) เช่น ส่วนโค้ง ลมดิ่ง ปริมาณเมฆฝนที่ศูนย์กลาง กำแพงตาพายุ และตาพายุ


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม JSL ของพายุ (ทุกๆ 1ชั่วโมง) เป็นการแบ่งระดับความรุนแรงของพายุในบริเวณต่างๆ


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม RAINBOW ของพายุ (ทุกๆ 1ชั่วโมง) บ่งบอกถึงระดับอุณหภูมิที่พื้นผิวเมฆและชั้นบรรยากาศของพายุ


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม INFRARED ของพายุ (ทุกๆ 1ชั่วโมง)


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม VISIBLE ของพายุ (ทุกๆ 1ชั่วโมง) เป็นภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมแบบเห็นจริง เฉพาะเวลากลางวันเนื่องจากการหมุนของโลก และแสงอาทิตย์


ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม RGB ของพายุ (ทุกๆ 1ชั่วโมง) เป็นภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมเรืองแสงสามารถเห็นได้ทั้งกลางวันและกลางคืนแม้ไม่มีแสงอาทิตย์สาดส่อง


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ระดับความเร็วลมของพายุ (Wind Analysis) เมื่อวันที่ 03 สิงหาคม 2552 เวลา 07.00 น.

CLICK ที่นี่เพื่อ UPDATE ทุกๆ 6 ชั่วโมง และดูย้อนหลัง
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/storm.asp?storm_identifier=WP082009

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03 สิงหาคม 2552 / 07.00 น. ตามเวลาประเทศไทย

การพยากรณ์ โดยJoint Typhoon Warning Center (รายละเอียด)

1 การพยากรณ์ เเละการคาดหมาย ของพายุ 5 วันล่วงหน้า ทุกๆ 6 ชั่วโมง
WTPN31 PGTW 030300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W (EIGHT) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030000Z --- NEAR 18.5N 116.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N 116.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 19.3N 115.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 20.0N 115.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 20.7N 115.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 21.2N 116.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 21.9N 116.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 22.6N 116.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 23.2N 116.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
030300Z POSITION NEAR 18.7N 116.0E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 08W (EIGHT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
030000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z, 031500Z, 032100Z AND
040300Z.//
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2 การวิเคราะห์ เเละการคาดการณ์ ของพายุ ทุกๆ 12 ชั่วโมง
WDPN31 PGTW 030300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 02//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 12 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 08W (EIGHT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND IT ATTAINED WARNING STATUS
AT 022300Z. CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE PGTW FIX AND A 022300Z
85 GHZ TRMM IMAGE AS WELL AS RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY
WHICH SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE WEST OF A FULLY EXPOSED
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). CURRENT INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS
VERIFIED BY A SHIP OBSERVATION 30 NM SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER AS
WELL AS A 022103Z QUIKSCAT PASS. INTENSITY HAS BEEN LIMITED BY
NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 2O TO 30 KNOTS AND THE LACK OF
A GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. THIS IS THE FIRST PROGNOSTIC REASONING BULLETIN FOR TD 08W,
ESTABLISHING THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY.
B. TD 08W IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF COMPETING STEERING
INFLUENCES. THERE IS A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER SOUTHEAST CHINA
THAT HAS HELPED TO GUIDE THE SYSTEM TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE
PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. HOWEVER, THERE IS ALSO A BUILDING ANTICYCLONE
SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, ANCHORED AROUND 10N 145E, WHICH IS
RIDGING TO THE NORTHWEST AND WANTS TO TRIGGER A NORTHEASTWARD TURN.
THEREFORE, NUMERICAL GUIDANCE IS VERY UNCERTAIN OUT TO 72 HOURS.
NOGAPS TAKES THE SYSTEM TO THE NORTHEAST AS IT BUILDS THE EASTERN
ANTICYCLONE TO A GREATER EXTENT THAN THE GFS MODEL WHICH, INSTEAD,
REBUILDS THE STEERING RIDGE OVER CHINA AND TAKES THE SYSTEM TO THE
WEST (NORTH OF HONG KONG). IN ADDITION TO THE COMPLEXITIES
ASSOCIATED WITH A COMPETING STEERING ENVIRONMENT, A COUPLE OF
NUMERICAL MODELS, INCLUDING THE ECMWF MODEL, START TO INTERACT TD
08W WITH A YET TO BE DEVELOPED SYSTEM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN
BEGINNING ABOUT TAU 48. THAT DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY A FAIR AREA
AND MORE DETAILS CAN BE FOUND ON THE SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER
ADVISORY BULLETIN (ABPW PGTW 030000). DUE TO DIRECT CYCLONE
INTERACTION, THE ECMWF MODEL TAKES TD 08W SLOWLY NORTH BEFORE
ROTATING IT CYCLONICALLY TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER TAU 48. THEREFORE,
DUE TO THE NUMERICAL GUIDANCE UNCERTAINTY AND LACK OF A DOMINANT
STEERING INFLUENCE, THIS FORECAST KEEPS TD 08W ON A VERY SLOW TRACK
TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THROUGH TAU 72. ADDITIONALLY, INTENSITY MAY
BUILD BY 05 KNOTS AS IT MEANDERS NORTH OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE
SOUTH CHINA SEA AND MAX OUT AT WEAK TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH.
HOWEVER, 08W WILL EVENTUALLY WEAKEN BACK TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION
STRENGTH AS IT WILL CONTINUE TO ENCOUNTER UNFAVORABLE NORTHEASTERLY
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 2O TO 30 KNOTS.
C. AFTER TAU 72 THERE CONTINUES TO BE LARGE UNCERTAINTY IN THE
NUMERICAL GUIDANCE. THERE IS NO AGREEMENT AMONGST THE MODEL TRACKERS
BETWEEN TAU 72 AND TAU 120 AS THEY ARE EACH FOLLOWING THE DIFFERENT
SCENARIOS MENTIONED IN PARA 3.B. THERE SHOULD BE MORE CLUES IN THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS WE SEE WHICH STEERING INFLUENCE WINS OUT AND WE
HAVE MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE "FAIR"
DISTURBANCE LOCATED AROUND 20N 1303E. THEREFORE, THIS FORECAST
CONTINUES TO FOLLOW A VERY SLOW TRACK TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AFTER
TAU 72.
FORECAST TEAM: BRAVO//
NNNN



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รวมเว็บภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม ทุกๆ 30 นาที – 1 ชั่วโมง บริเวณมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคตะวันตกในซีกโลกเหนือ (North West Pacific)
1. ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมแบบ INFRARED บริเวณมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคตะวันตก
1.1 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณ West Pacific/South China Sea ของ MTSAT
http://205.85.40.22/sat/gms_nwtrop/ir/nwtrop_ir.jpg
1.2 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณ West Pacific/South China Sea ของ NOAA (โนอา)
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/SHGMSIRW.JPG
1.3 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณ อ่าวเบงกอล อ่าวไทย ทะเลจีนใต้ จนถึง ฝั่งตะวันออกของฟิลิปปินส์
http://205.85.40.22/sat/gms_a/goesa.jpg
1.4 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณ ทะเลตะวันออกของฟิลิปปินส์ จนสิ้นสุดที่ ลองจิจูดที่ 180.0 องศาตะวันออก
http://205.85.40.22/sat/gms_b/goesb.jpg
1.5 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคด้านตะวันตกทั้งหมด
http://205.85.40.22/sat/gms_full/ir/gmsfull_ir.jpg
1.6 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณ มหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคด้านตะวันตกตอนเหนือ อ่าวเบงกอล และมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคใต้
http://205.85.40.22/jtwc/jtgio_ir2.jpg
2. ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมแบบ VISIBLE (ภาพเห็นจริง) บริเวณมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคตะวันตก (สามารถดูได้ในเฉพาะเวลากลางวันของมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคตะวันตก )
2.1 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณ West Pacific/South China Sea ของ MTSAT
http://205.85.40.22/sat/gms_nwtrop/vis/nwtrop_vis.jpg
2.2 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมบริเวณ West Pacific/South China Sea ของ NOAA (โนอา)
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/SHGMSVSW.JPG
3. ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมเคลื่อนไหว แบบ INFRARED บริเวณมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิคตะวันตก
3.1 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมเคลื่อนไหว บริเวณอ่าวไทย ทะเลจีนใต้ จนถึง ทะเลตะวันออกของฟิลิปปินส์
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/sohemiloops/shirgmsw.html
3.2 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมเคลื่อนไหว บริเวณเกาะกวม (Guam) มหาสมุทรแปซิฟิค
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/guam/guamloops/guamir.html
3.3 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมเคลื่อนไหว บริเวณอ่าวไทย ทะเลจีนใต้ และมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิค
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/wpac/loop-ir4.html
3.4 ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียมเคลื่อนไหว บริเวณมหาสมุทรแปซิฟิค ทั้งหมด
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/westpac/movies/gmsir/gmsirjava.html

Link การพยากรณ์ คาดหมาย ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม เส้นทางเดินพายุ ทุกๆ 6 ชั่วโมง
http://metocph.nmci.navy.mil/jtwc.php(1-Minute Mean/ประเทศสหรัฐฯ) ***ต้นฉบับของ 1-Minute Mean
http://www.wunderground.com/(1-Minute Mean/ประเทศสหรัฐฯ)
http://www.solar.ifa.hawaii.edu/tropical/(1-Minute Mean/ประเทศสหรัฐฯ)
http://tsr.mssl.ucl.ac.uk/(1-Minute Mean/ประเทศอังกฤษ)
http://www.kma.go.kr/ (10-Minute Mean/ประเทศเกาหลี)
http://www.jma.go.jp (10-Minute Mean/ประเทศญี่ปุ่น)
http://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/(10-Minute Mean/ประเทศญี่ปุ่น)
อื่นๆ
ความรู้เกี่ยวกับ สัญลักษณ์ของระดับลมที่เกิดขึ้นทั้งบนบกและทะเล (WIND ANALYSYS มาตราโบฟอร์ด) หมายถึงอะไร ???
http://www.uppic.net/ib/beauford.gif

==================================================================================================

*** หมายเหตุ; การพยากรณ์และการคำนวณพายุหมุนเขตร้อนนี้โดยหน่วยงาน ศูนย์ร่วมการเตือนภัยไต้ฝุ่น (Joint Typhoon Warning Center หรือ JTWC) ของ สหรัฐฯ เป็นการพยากรณ์ตามระดับมาตรวัดพายุหมุนเขตร้อนของ ซัฟเฟอร์ – ซิมป์สัน (Saffir – Simpson Scale)ของสหรัฐ ฯ ตามข้อกำหนดจากต่างประเทศบริเวณที่ได้รับอิทธิพลจากเฮอร์ริเคนซึ่งส่วนใหญ่ยอมรับใช้กัน พยากรณ์และคำนวณความเร็วลมที่รอบศูนย์กลางพายุที่ค่าเฉลี่ย 1 นาที(1-Minute Mean) ใช้กรณีเดียวกับศูนย์เฮอร์ริเคนแห่งชาติ (National Hurricane Center หรือ NHC) / ต่างจากประเทศไทย ที่มีการพยากรณ์และคำนวณพายุหมุนเขตร้อนตาม ระดับมาตรวัดพายุหมุนเขตร้อนตามมาตรฐานสากล (International Standard) ตามข้อกำหนดจากต่างประเทศบริเวณที่ได้รับอิทธิพลจากไต้ฝุ่นซึ่งส่วนใหญ่ยอมรับใช้กัน พยากรณ์และคำนวณความเร็วลมที่รอบศูนย์กลางพายุที่ค่าเฉลี่ย 10 นาที (10-Minute Mean) ดังนั้นข้อมูลทั้ง ค่าความกดอากาศ ความเร็วลม ฯลฯ จะไม่เหมือนกัน
1)ระดับมาตรวัดพายุหมุนเขตร้อนของ ซัฟเฟอร์ – ซิมป์สัน (Saffir – Simpson Scale) พยากรณ์โดยศูนย์ร่วมการเตือนภัยไต้ฝุ่น (Joint Typhoon Warning Center หรือ JTWC)ของสหรัฐ ฯ ตามข้อกำหนดจากต่างประเทศบริเวณที่ได้รับอิทธิพลจากเฮอร์ริเคน และส่วนใหญ่ยอมรับใช้กัน / ค่าเฉลี่ยความเร็วลมที่รอบศูนย์กลางพายุ 1 นาที(1-Minute Mean)
ระดับของซัฟเฟอร์-ซิมพ์สัน --------------------- ความเร็วลมสูงสุดที่รอบศูนย์กลาง
Tropical Depression (TD); พายุดีเปรสชัน ----- 25 – 33 นอต หรือ 46-61 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง
Tropical Storm (TS); พายุโซนร้อน ------------ 34-63 นอต หรือ 63-117 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง
Typhoon (Category 1); ไต้ฝุ่นระดับ 1 ---------- 64-83 หรือ 119-154 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง
Typhoon (Category 2); ไต้ฝุ่นระดับ 2 ---------- 84-96 นอต หรือ 156-178 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง
Typhoon (Category 3); ไต้ฝุ่นระดับ 3 ---------- 97-113 นอต หรือ 180-209 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง
Typhoon (Category 4); ไต้ฝุ่นระดับ 4 ---------- 114-135 นอต หรือ 211-250 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง
Super Typhoon (Category 5); ซูเปอร์ไต้ฝุ่นระดับ 5 ---------- 135 นอต หรือ 250 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง ขึ้นไป

2)ระดับมาตรวัดพายุหมุนเขตร้อนประเทศไทยใช้ตามมาตรฐานสากล (INTERNATIONAL STANDARD)ตามข้อกำหนดจากต่างประเทศบริเวณที่ได้รับอิทธิพลจากไต้ฝุ่น และส่วนใหญ่ยอมรับใช้กัน / ค่าเฉลี่ยความเร็วลมที่รอบศูนย์กลางพายุ 10 นาที (10-Minute Mean)
ระดับ -------------------------------- ความเร็วลมสูงสุดที่รอบศูนย์กลาง
Tropical Depression (TD) --------- >33 นอต หรือ >62 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง
Tropical Storm (TS) --------------- 34 – 47 นอต หรือ 63 – 88 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง
Severe Tropical Storm (STS) ----- 48 – 63 นอต หรือ 89 – 118 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง
Typhoon (TY) ---------------------- <64 นอต ขึ้นไป หรือ <119 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมงขึ้นไป




โดยคุณ TC-08W (125.24.119.187) [03-08-2009 13:27]




ความเห็นที่ 1 โดยคุณ น้ำฟ้า (112.142.55.249) [03-08-2009 19:07] #22070

เปิดเวปมาเจอคุณTC ดีใจยังกับพระมาโปรด แม้รอดไปได้อีกหน่อยแล้ว ดีเปรสชั่นลูก08นี้ ก็ไปเซี้ยงไฮ้แทน



ความเห็นที่ 2 โดยคุณ คนสงสัย (125.26.142.70) [03-08-2009 21:24] #22071

คุณTCครับช่วยตอบกระทู้ที่06626ให้ด้วยครับ เดือนนี้ดูท่าแล้วคงไม่มีพายุเข้าที่ภาคอีสานเป็นแน่ งานนี้เจอภัยแล้งสาหัสเลยครับ ผมขอให้การสอบของคุณTCราบรื่น ขอให้สอบผ่านทุกวิชาครับ



ความเห็นที่ 3 โดยคุณ link (58.9.120.126) [03-08-2009 21:59] #22072

ผมขอให้การสอบของคุณTCราบรื่นด้วยเหมือนกันขอให้เจอแต่ประสบความสำเร็จนะครับ พวกๆเราทุกคนก็หวังเอาใจช่วยคุณTCเมื่อ ทุกเวลาครับ ขอให้ทำเต็มที่นะครับ



ความเห็นที่ 4 โดยคุณ เด็กประถม (58.8.44.147) [13-08-2009 08:46] #22191

ขอบคุณครับ



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Mildred [url=http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html]green Monday michael kors 2014[/url] ing specialists.Still, we have witnessed virtually no review concerning the accuracy from any worth mentioning comments. http://www.greenmonday-sale.com "However, this kind of percentage associated with fu.This is the market shifting issue. [url=http://www.greenmonday-sale.com]2014 green monday jordans[/url] racticable to select lamps, Which type slimmer your own financial allowance, Home address, Also yearned pertaining to way of expediency.Once Scarlett Sta. http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html



ความเห็นที่ 21 โดยคุณ MildredMecy Mail to MildredMecy (192.99.150.87) [05-12-2014 10:34] #153929

Mildred [url=http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html]green Monday michael kors 2014[/url] ing specialists.Still, we have witnessed virtually no review concerning the accuracy from any worth mentioning comments. http://www.greenmonday-sale.com "However, this kind of percentage associated with fu.This is the market shifting issue. [url=http://www.greenmonday-sale.com]2014 green monday jordans[/url] racticable to select lamps, Which type slimmer your own financial allowance, Home address, Also yearned pertaining to way of expediency.Once Scarlett Sta. http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html



ความเห็นที่ 22 โดยคุณ MildredMecy Mail to MildredMecy (192.99.150.87) [05-12-2014 10:34] #153932

Mildred [url=http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html]green Monday michael kors 2014[/url] ing specialists.Still, we have witnessed virtually no review concerning the accuracy from any worth mentioning comments. http://www.greenmonday-sale.com "However, this kind of percentage associated with fu.This is the market shifting issue. [url=http://www.greenmonday-sale.com]2014 green monday jordans[/url] racticable to select lamps, Which type slimmer your own financial allowance, Home address, Also yearned pertaining to way of expediency.Once Scarlett Sta. http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html



ความเห็นที่ 23 โดยคุณ MildredMecy Mail to MildredMecy (192.99.150.87) [05-12-2014 10:34] #153934

Mildred [url=http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html]green Monday michael kors 2014[/url] ing specialists.Still, we have witnessed virtually no review concerning the accuracy from any worth mentioning comments. http://www.greenmonday-sale.com "However, this kind of percentage associated with fu.This is the market shifting issue. [url=http://www.greenmonday-sale.com]2014 green monday jordans[/url] racticable to select lamps, Which type slimmer your own financial allowance, Home address, Also yearned pertaining to way of expediency.Once Scarlett Sta. http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html



ความเห็นที่ 24 โดยคุณ MildredMecy Mail to MildredMecy (192.99.150.87) [05-12-2014 10:34] #153937

Mildred [url=http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html]green Monday michael kors 2014[/url] ing specialists.Still, we have witnessed virtually no review concerning the accuracy from any worth mentioning comments. http://www.greenmonday-sale.com "However, this kind of percentage associated with fu.This is the market shifting issue. [url=http://www.greenmonday-sale.com]2014 green monday jordans[/url] racticable to select lamps, Which type slimmer your own financial allowance, Home address, Also yearned pertaining to way of expediency.Once Scarlett Sta. http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html



ความเห็นที่ 25 โดยคุณ MildredMecy Mail to MildredMecy (192.99.150.87) [05-12-2014 10:34] #153942

Mildred [url=http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html]green Monday michael kors 2014[/url] ing specialists.Still, we have witnessed virtually no review concerning the accuracy from any worth mentioning comments. http://www.greenmonday-sale.com "However, this kind of percentage associated with fu.This is the market shifting issue. [url=http://www.greenmonday-sale.com]2014 green monday jordans[/url] racticable to select lamps, Which type slimmer your own financial allowance, Home address, Also yearned pertaining to way of expediency.Once Scarlett Sta. http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html



ความเห็นที่ 26 โดยคุณ MildredMecy Mail to MildredMecy (192.99.150.87) [05-12-2014 10:34] #153943

Mildred [url=http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html]green Monday michael kors 2014[/url] ing specialists.Still, we have witnessed virtually no review concerning the accuracy from any worth mentioning comments. http://www.greenmonday-sale.com "However, this kind of percentage associated with fu.This is the market shifting issue. [url=http://www.greenmonday-sale.com]2014 green monday jordans[/url] racticable to select lamps, Which type slimmer your own financial allowance, Home address, Also yearned pertaining to way of expediency.Once Scarlett Sta. http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html



ความเห็นที่ 27 โดยคุณ MildredMecy Mail to MildredMecy (192.99.150.87) [05-12-2014 10:34] #153945

Mildred [url=http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html]green Monday michael kors 2014[/url] ing specialists.Still, we have witnessed virtually no review concerning the accuracy from any worth mentioning comments. http://www.greenmonday-sale.com "However, this kind of percentage associated with fu.This is the market shifting issue. [url=http://www.greenmonday-sale.com]2014 green monday jordans[/url] racticable to select lamps, Which type slimmer your own financial allowance, Home address, Also yearned pertaining to way of expediency.Once Scarlett Sta. http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html



ความเห็นที่ 28 โดยคุณ MildredMecy Mail to MildredMecy (192.99.150.87) [05-12-2014 10:34] #153947

Mildred [url=http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html]green Monday michael kors 2014[/url] ing specialists.Still, we have witnessed virtually no review concerning the accuracy from any worth mentioning comments. http://www.greenmonday-sale.com "However, this kind of percentage associated with fu.This is the market shifting issue. [url=http://www.greenmonday-sale.com]2014 green monday jordans[/url] racticable to select lamps, Which type slimmer your own financial allowance, Home address, Also yearned pertaining to way of expediency.Once Scarlett Sta. http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html



ความเห็นที่ 29 โดยคุณ MildredMecy Mail to MildredMecy (192.99.150.87) [05-12-2014 10:35] #153949

Mildred [url=http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html]green Monday michael kors 2014[/url] ing specialists.Still, we have witnessed virtually no review concerning the accuracy from any worth mentioning comments. http://www.greenmonday-sale.com "However, this kind of percentage associated with fu.This is the market shifting issue. [url=http://www.greenmonday-sale.com]2014 green monday jordans[/url] racticable to select lamps, Which type slimmer your own financial allowance, Home address, Also yearned pertaining to way of expediency.Once Scarlett Sta. http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html



ความเห็นที่ 30 โดยคุณ MildredMecy Mail to MildredMecy (192.99.150.87) [05-12-2014 10:35] #153953

Mildred [url=http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html]green Monday michael kors 2014[/url] ing specialists.Still, we have witnessed virtually no review concerning the accuracy from any worth mentioning comments. http://www.greenmonday-sale.com "However, this kind of percentage associated with fu.This is the market shifting issue. [url=http://www.greenmonday-sale.com]2014 green monday jordans[/url] racticable to select lamps, Which type slimmer your own financial allowance, Home address, Also yearned pertaining to way of expediency.Once Scarlett Sta. http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html



ความเห็นที่ 31 โดยคุณ MildredMecy Mail to MildredMecy (192.99.150.87) [05-12-2014 10:35] #153954

Mildred [url=http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html]green Monday michael kors 2014[/url] ing specialists.Still, we have witnessed virtually no review concerning the accuracy from any worth mentioning comments. http://www.greenmonday-sale.com "However, this kind of percentage associated with fu.This is the market shifting issue. [url=http://www.greenmonday-sale.com]2014 green monday jordans[/url] racticable to select lamps, Which type slimmer your own financial allowance, Home address, Also yearned pertaining to way of expediency.Once Scarlett Sta. http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html



ความเห็นที่ 32 โดยคุณ MildredMecy Mail to MildredMecy (192.99.150.87) [05-12-2014 10:35] #153959

Mildred [url=http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html]green Monday michael kors 2014[/url] ing specialists.Still, we have witnessed virtually no review concerning the accuracy from any worth mentioning comments. http://www.greenmonday-sale.com "However, this kind of percentage associated with fu.This is the market shifting issue. [url=http://www.greenmonday-sale.com]2014 green monday jordans[/url] racticable to select lamps, Which type slimmer your own financial allowance, Home address, Also yearned pertaining to way of expediency.Once Scarlett Sta. http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html



ความเห็นที่ 33 โดยคุณ MildredMecy Mail to MildredMecy (192.99.150.87) [05-12-2014 10:35] #153961

Mildred [url=http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html]green Monday michael kors 2014[/url] ing specialists.Still, we have witnessed virtually no review concerning the accuracy from any worth mentioning comments. http://www.greenmonday-sale.com "However, this kind of percentage associated with fu.This is the market shifting issue. [url=http://www.greenmonday-sale.com]2014 green monday jordans[/url] racticable to select lamps, Which type slimmer your own financial allowance, Home address, Also yearned pertaining to way of expediency.Once Scarlett Sta. http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html



ความเห็นที่ 34 โดยคุณ MildredMecy Mail to MildredMecy (192.99.150.87) [05-12-2014 10:35] #153962

Mildred [url=http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html]green Monday michael kors 2014[/url] ing specialists.Still, we have witnessed virtually no review concerning the accuracy from any worth mentioning comments. http://www.greenmonday-sale.com "However, this kind of percentage associated with fu.This is the market shifting issue. [url=http://www.greenmonday-sale.com]2014 green monday jordans[/url] racticable to select lamps, Which type slimmer your own financial allowance, Home address, Also yearned pertaining to way of expediency.Once Scarlett Sta. http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html



ความเห็นที่ 35 โดยคุณ MildredMecy Mail to MildredMecy (192.99.150.87) [05-12-2014 10:35] #153963

Mildred [url=http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html]green Monday michael kors 2014[/url] ing specialists.Still, we have witnessed virtually no review concerning the accuracy from any worth mentioning comments. http://www.greenmonday-sale.com "However, this kind of percentage associated with fu.This is the market shifting issue. [url=http://www.greenmonday-sale.com]2014 green monday jordans[/url] racticable to select lamps, Which type slimmer your own financial allowance, Home address, Also yearned pertaining to way of expediency.Once Scarlett Sta. http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html



ความเห็นที่ 36 โดยคุณ MildredMecy Mail to MildredMecy (192.99.150.87) [05-12-2014 10:35] #153964

Mildred [url=http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html]green Monday michael kors 2014[/url] ing specialists.Still, we have witnessed virtually no review concerning the accuracy from any worth mentioning comments. http://www.greenmonday-sale.com "However, this kind of percentage associated with fu.This is the market shifting issue. [url=http://www.greenmonday-sale.com]2014 green monday jordans[/url] racticable to select lamps, Which type slimmer your own financial allowance, Home address, Also yearned pertaining to way of expediency.Once Scarlett Sta. http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html



ความเห็นที่ 37 โดยคุณ MildredMecy Mail to MildredMecy (192.99.150.87) [05-12-2014 10:35] #153965

Mildred [url=http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html]green Monday michael kors 2014[/url] ing specialists.Still, we have witnessed virtually no review concerning the accuracy from any worth mentioning comments. http://www.greenmonday-sale.com "However, this kind of percentage associated with fu.This is the market shifting issue. [url=http://www.greenmonday-sale.com]2014 green monday jordans[/url] racticable to select lamps, Which type slimmer your own financial allowance, Home address, Also yearned pertaining to way of expediency.Once Scarlett Sta. http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html



ความเห็นที่ 38 โดยคุณ MildredMecy Mail to MildredMecy (192.99.150.87) [05-12-2014 10:35] #153966

Mildred [url=http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html]green Monday michael kors 2014[/url] ing specialists.Still, we have witnessed virtually no review concerning the accuracy from any worth mentioning comments. http://www.greenmonday-sale.com "However, this kind of percentage associated with fu.This is the market shifting issue. [url=http://www.greenmonday-sale.com]2014 green monday jordans[/url] racticable to select lamps, Which type slimmer your own financial allowance, Home address, Also yearned pertaining to way of expediency.Once Scarlett Sta. http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html



ความเห็นที่ 39 โดยคุณ MildredMecy Mail to MildredMecy (192.99.150.87) [05-12-2014 10:36] #153967

Mildred [url=http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html]green Monday michael kors 2014[/url] ing specialists.Still, we have witnessed virtually no review concerning the accuracy from any worth mentioning comments. http://www.greenmonday-sale.com "However, this kind of percentage associated with fu.This is the market shifting issue. [url=http://www.greenmonday-sale.com]2014 green monday jordans[/url] racticable to select lamps, Which type slimmer your own financial allowance, Home address, Also yearned pertaining to way of expediency.Once Scarlett Sta. http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html



ความเห็นที่ 40 โดยคุณ MildredMecy Mail to MildredMecy (192.99.150.87) [05-12-2014 10:36] #153968

Mildred [url=http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html]green Monday michael kors 2014[/url] ing specialists.Still, we have witnessed virtually no review concerning the accuracy from any worth mentioning comments. http://www.greenmonday-sale.com "However, this kind of percentage associated with fu.This is the market shifting issue. [url=http://www.greenmonday-sale.com]2014 green monday jordans[/url] racticable to select lamps, Which type slimmer your own financial allowance, Home address, Also yearned pertaining to way of expediency.Once Scarlett Sta. http://www.lyndaleucc.org/news_mgr/about/Christmas-boxes-Michael-Kors-watch-sale.html



ความเห็นที่ 41 โดยคุณ RobertaMecy Mail to RobertaMecy (192.99.101.77) [13-12-2014 23:16] #187567

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ความเห็นที่ 42 โดยคุณ RobertaMecy Mail to RobertaMecy (192.99.101.77) [13-12-2014 23:17] #187615

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ความเห็นที่ 43 โดยคุณ RobertaMecy Mail to RobertaMecy (192.99.101.77) [13-12-2014 23:17] #187629

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ความเห็นที่ 44 โดยคุณ RobertaMecy Mail to RobertaMecy (192.99.101.77) [13-12-2014 23:18] #187655

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ความเห็นที่ 45 โดยคุณ RobertaMecy Mail to RobertaMecy (192.99.101.77) [13-12-2014 23:18] #187687

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ความเห็นที่ 46 โดยคุณ RobertaMecy Mail to RobertaMecy (192.99.101.77) [13-12-2014 23:19] #187713

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